Reform UK on program for clear victories in Greater Lincolnshire and Hull/East Yorkshire mayoral competitions, survey recommends
There are 6 mayoral political elections following week. Two of them are for single-authority mayors (Doncaster and North Tyneside), nonetheless the others are for combined-authority mayors (or native mayors– like metropolis mayors, nonetheless not merely masking metropolis areas). Today You Gov has truly launched polling masking all 4 of those competitions and it recommends Reform UK will get on program to win 2 of them conveniently. And the Green celebration is instantly prematurely in a third, the survey recommends.
Here are the poll numbers.
Greater Lincolnshire– Reform UK prematurely by 15 elements

Andrea Jenkyns, the earlier Tory MP, is the Reform UK prospect proper right here, and that is the place Nigel Farage’s celebration was believed to have its best risk of a mayoral win. Sam Freedman has a wonderful recap of the competitors in his very helpful regional political elections sneak peek on his Substack blog.
In idea the Tories have to be successful in Lincolnshire as they maintain plenty of the legislative seats within the location and have truly managed regional nationwide politics completely. But it’s moreover probably the most Reform- nice part of the nation. It consists of Richard Tice’s constituency and numerous seats through which they got here 2nd. Plus their prospect is a earlier Tory MP– Andrea Jenkyns, standard for her Boris Johnson fascination and making a middle finger movement at a gaggle exteriorDowning Street She is, by all accounts, many sandwiches besides a barbecue nonetheless, nonetheless, is stable most popular to win. Large parts of regional Conservative occasions, consisting of quite a few councillors, have truly at the moment deserted.
Hull and East Yorkshire– Reform UK prematurely by 14 elements

Like Greater Lincolnshire, this can be a brand-new blended authority, implying there have truly not been political elections for this mayoral message prior to now. Again it was considered as a Reform UK goal, nonetheless the poll recommends Luke Campbell, a earlier Olympic fighter, will get on program to win conveniently.
West of England– Green celebration prematurely by 4 elements

It appears as if the West of England mayor must supervise of 1 / 4 of the nation, nonetheless as a matter of truth this mayoralty merely covers authorities in Bristol, South Gloucestershire andNorth East Somerset Labour received it final time, nonetheless the outbound mayor has truly been jailed over rape and teen misuse accusations. The Greens are stable in Bristol, the place Carla Denyer, the co-leader, is an MP, and a hit within the mayoral competitors would definitely be a signficant innovation for the celebration.
Cambridgeshire and Peterborough– Conservatives prematurely by 12 elements

When this message was final objected to, the Conservative prospect was prematurely after the very first tally nonetheless the Labour prospect was chosen because the varied different residents have been rearranged and the Lib Dem ballots introduced him over the road within the 2nd spherical. The Conservatives after that junked this poll system (the auxiliary poll) for mayoral political elections and adjusted it with first-past-the-post. There are some Labour MPs that would definitely would such because the federal authorities to return to the auxiliary poll. But, if these You Gov numbers are proper, additionally the auxiliary poll would definitely not at all times safeguard Labour triumph proper right here, because the included Tory/Reform UK poll is greater than the included Labour/Lib Dem/Green poll.
Key events
No 10 states ‘all choices stay on table’ amidst information PM assist off methods to ship out troopers to Ukraine as part of tranquility supply
Keir Starmer is more than likely to abandon methods to ship out British troopers to Ukaine as part of a “coalition of the willing” stress to protect the nation in case of attainable tranquility supply, the Times states in the present day. In her story, Larissa Brown states:
Britain is more than likely to abandon methods to ship out numerous troopers to protect Ukraine because the risks are thought of “too high”, it may be disclosed.
In an evident conditioning of methods, Britain and Europe would definitely no extra have a floor stress securing important cities, ports and nuclear reactor to safeguard the tranquility …
A useful resource related to conversations regarding a “coalition of the willing” claimed of put together for a stress of 10s of numerous floor troopers: “The risks are too high and the forces inadequate for such a task. This was always the UK’s thought. It was France who wanted a more muscular approach.”
At the Downing Street entrance corridor rundown, requested if the PM was rowing again on his promise to position British troopers on the bottom within the Ukraine, a No 10 consultant claimed he didn’t “recognise” the Times file. “All options remain on the table,” he claimed.
Asked whether or not troopers being launched would definitely hinge on the United States offering a “backstop” to a tranquility supply, the consultant he claimed he would definitely not present a operating discourse on talks. He included:
As the top of state has truly claimed in present days, we’re functioning very intently with the United States. We’re all focused on ending the bloodshed and safeguarding a long-term tranquility for Ukraine.
Former tv exec David Kogan validated as chair of Independent Football Regulator
The Department for Culture, Media and Sport has at the moment confirmed that the tv exec David Kogan is its really helpful prospect to be chair of the brand-newIndependent Football Regulator As Jacob Steinberg information, Kogan, that has had a group of aged messages within the media and sporting actions, has truly moreover contributed to Labour prospects, and was chair of the Labour Listing web site.
The Conservative celebration has truly rejected him as aLabour “crony” Louie French, the darkness sporting actions preacher, claimed:
This deeply political go to brings into query the regulatory authority’s capability to run with the impartiality followers ought to have. It’s but yet one more occasion of a Labour federal authorities further enthusiastic about compensating its contributors than providing most people ardour.
Labour Listing is looking for a replacement.
Reform UK on program for clear victories in Greater Lincolnshire and Hull/East Yorkshire mayoral competitions, survey recommends
There are 6 mayoral political elections following week. Two of them are for single-authority mayors (Doncaster and North Tyneside), nonetheless the others are for combined-authority mayors (or native mayors– like metropolis mayors, nonetheless not merely masking metropolis areas). Today You Gov has truly launched polling masking all 4 of those competitions and it recommends Reform UK will get on program to win 2 of them conveniently. And the Green celebration is instantly prematurely in a third, the survey recommends.
Here are the poll numbers.
Greater Lincolnshire– Reform UK prematurely by 15 elements
Andrea Jenkyns, the earlier Tory MP, is the Reform UK prospect proper right here, and that is the place Nigel Farage’s celebration was believed to have its best risk of a mayoral win. Sam Freedman has a wonderful recap of the competitors in his very helpful regional political elections sneak peek on his Substack blog.
In idea the Tories have to be successful in Lincolnshire as they maintain plenty of the legislative seats within the location and have truly managed regional nationwide politics completely. But it’s moreover probably the most Reform- nice part of the nation. It consists of Richard Tice’s constituency and numerous seats through which they got here 2nd. Plus their prospect is a earlier Tory MP– Andrea Jenkyns, standard for her Boris Johnson fascination and making a middle finger movement at a gaggle exteriorDowning Street She is, by all accounts, many sandwiches besides a barbecue nonetheless, nonetheless, is stable most popular to win. Large parts of regional Conservative occasions, consisting of quite a few councillors, have truly at the moment deserted.
Hull and East Yorkshire– Reform UK prematurely by 14 elements
Like Greater Lincolnshire, this can be a brand-new blended authority, implying there have truly not been political elections for this mayoral message prior to now. Again it was considered as a Reform UK goal, nonetheless the poll recommends Luke Campbell, a earlier Olympic fighter, will get on program to win conveniently.
West of England– Green celebration prematurely by 4 elements
It appears as if the West of England mayor must supervise of 1 / 4 of the nation, nonetheless as a matter of truth this mayoralty merely covers authorities in Bristol, South Gloucestershire andNorth East Somerset Labour received it final time, nonetheless the outbound mayor has truly been jailed over rape and teen misuse accusations. The Greens are stable in Bristol, the place Carla Denyer, the co-leader, is an MP, and a hit within the mayoral competitors would definitely be a signficant innovation for the celebration.
Cambridgeshire and Peterborough– Conservatives prematurely by 12 elements
When this message was final objected to, the Conservative prospect was prematurely after the very first tally nonetheless the Labour prospect was chosen because the varied different residents have been rearranged and the Lib Dem ballots introduced him over the road within the 2nd spherical. The Conservatives after that junked this poll system (the auxiliary poll) for mayoral political elections and adjusted it with first-past-the-post. There are some Labour MPs that would definitely would such because the federal authorities to return to the auxiliary poll. But, if these You Gov numbers are proper, additionally the auxiliary poll would definitely not at all times safeguard Labour triumph proper right here, because the included Tory/Reform UK poll is greater than the included Labour/Lib Dem/Green poll.
Home Office introduces technique to spice up penalties for expertise managers that fall quick to eradicate blade prison exercise internet content material
Tech corporations and particular execs cope with being collectively fined roughly ₤ 70,000 every time an article connecting to blade prison exercise isn’t gotten rid of for his or her web sites, Media information. states:
The federal authorities has truly elevated a previously revealed technique to nice particular expertise managers ₤ 10,000 when their system stops working to eradicate materials related to blade prison exercise, and will definitely at the moment launch added penalties of roughly ₤ 60,000 to a enterprise itself every time it stops working to eradicate particular messages.
The Home Office claimed the permissions belong to methods to battle internet content material that promotes illegal blades and varied different offending instruments to youths, along with proclaiming or prompting bodily violence.
The legislations will definitely moreover make a greater collection of techniques accountable, consisting of on-line search engine, social networks techniques and on-line industries, with the aim of recording all on-line firms which may presently be stopping working to eradicate internet content material.
They will definitely be offered in a modification to the prison exercise and policing expense.
The Home Office has further data of the information in its news release
Council intercourse house more than likely to worsen if Reform UK succeed, specialists state, since larger than 75% of their prospects male
An efficient end result for Reform UK in following week’s regional political elections will definitely decrease the share of females in metropolis authorities, a scholastic analysis examine recommends.
Researchers on the University of Essex states that Reform has truly been even worse than any one of many varied different main occasions at selecting females to be council prospects which this would possibly trigger metropolis authorities coming to be further male than it at the moment is.
Hannah Bunting, that runs the the school’s political elections centre, claimed:
Reform have diminished levels of girls prospects (a lot lower than 1 / 4) than the Conservatives (not slightly 30%). The Greens and Labour go to over 40% normal and LibDem s, Others/Indys and regional occasions putting the 30-33% mark.
The intro of prevalent Reform prospects, and particularly in the event that they win, has truly expanded the intercourse house.
This differs by regional authority, nonetheless Reform have a lot lower than a fifth (20%) of females which means them in 9 councils. In Doncaster that is 15% and in Leicester 11%. Labour are virtually 50/50 in Cornwall and Doncaster, the Greens putting that in Doncaster and actually enclose Nottinghamshire.
But Bunting claimed, on the bonus facet for intercourse equal rights, there goes to the very least one feminine standing in each mayoral competitors following week.
According to the Local Government Information Unit, 59% of councillors in England are men.
There have been council byelections the opposite day. Andrew Teale composed a detailed guide to all 4 competitions on his distinctive Substack weblog web site. And Britain Elects has truly uploaded the outcomes on its Bluesky feed
Here are the numbers, as reported by Britain Elects.
Lib Dem maintain in West Berkshire
Liberal Democrat HOLD
Thatcham North East (West Berkshire) council by-election end result:
LDEM: 41.1% (-14.8 )
DISADVANTAGE: 25.5% (+0.1 )
REF: 21.9% (+21.9 )
GRN: 7.6% (-11.0 )
LABORATORY: 3.9% (+3.9 )
+/- 2023
Estimated turnover: ~ 29% (-6 )
SNP maintain in Fife
SNP HOLD Glenrothes Central and Thornton (Fife) council by-election end result:
SNP: 47.6% (-1.1 )
LABORATORY: 21.5% (-6.4 )
REF: 17.9% (+17.9 )
LDEM: 6.9% (+2.9 )
DISADVANTAGE: 6.1% (-5.9 )
No Grn (-3.7) as prev.
+/- 2022
Labour maintain in Suffolk
Labour HOLD St John’s (Suffolk) council by-election end result:
LABORATORY: 28.0% (-19.7 )
GRN: 21.4% (+13.6 )
REF: 20.6% (+20.6 )
LDEM: 15.1% (+9.8 )
DISADVANTAGE: 14.9% (-24.4 )
+/- 2021
Reform UK acquire from unbiased in Arun in West Sussex
Reform GAIN from Independent Marine (Arun) council by-election end result:
REF: 26.0% (+26.0 )
LDEM: 25.2% (-1.0 )
LABORATORY: 20.1% (+0.2 )
DISADVANTAGE: 16.3% (-0.2 )
GRN: 9.8% (+9.8 )
IND: 2.6% (-34.8 )
+/- 2023
Estimated turnover: ~ 25% (-13 )
Keir Starmer spoke with Narendra Modi, the Indian head of state, to share his acknowledgements regarding the terrorist strike in Kashmir on Tuesday, Downing Street claimed. A No 10 consultant claimed:
The head of state began by claiming he was alarmed by the damaging terrorist strike in Jammu and Kashmir on Tuesday, which noticed the unlucky lack of 26 harmless lives.
He shared his deep acknowledgements in behalf of the British people to all these influenced, their favored ones and people of India.
Water agency managers take the possibility of jail in the event that they conceal illegal sewer splashes below regulation at the moment efficient, Defra states
Water agency managers confront 2 years behind bars in the event that they conceal illegal sewer splashes below brand-new legislations getting into stress, Media information. states:
The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) claimed no jail sentences have truly been handed to public utility execs contemplating that privatisation no matter prevalent illegal sewer discharges, and the more durable fines have been very important since some firms have truly blocked examinations.
Environment assistant Steve Reed claimed: “Bosses must face consequences if they commit crimes. There must be accountability. From today, there will be no more hiding places.”
The motion, part of the Water (Special Measures) Act 2025, is accessible within the face of prevalent public fierceness over the abject state of the nation’s rivers, lakes and seaside waters and at an absence of monetary funding in water framework, growing bills, excessive returns and monetary obligation and exec pay and advantages.
Defra means that the brand-new legislations generated to ship to jail public utility execs will definitely work as an efficient deterrent.
Until at the moment, regulatory authorities have truly encountered blockage from corporations of their initiatives to gather proof for prosecutions on illegal sewer spills.
Despite blockage being a prison offense, simply 3 public utility authorities have truly been prosecuted by the Environment Agency with out attraction, and the optimum penalty was a penalty– though no penalties have been supplied.
Defra has full data of simply how the regulation has truly been tightened up in its news release.
German ambassador to UK states he’s constructive regarding leads of younger individuals flexibility handle EU
Miguel Berger, the German ambassador to the UK, was requested on the Today program in the present day if he believed the EU would definitely consent to a younger individuals flexibility plan with the UK with numbers topped. According to a Times file, this seems to be the place the preparations are heading. (See 9.20 am.) Berger claimed that this was a difficulty for the preparations, nonetheless he included:
I’m at the moment slightly constructive that we’re relocating a wonderful directions.
And he claimed that the opposite day’s convention in between Keir Starmer and Ursula von der Leyen revealed that “very serious” main job was in progress prematurely of following month’s UK-EU high.
For Germany, a necessary downside was acquiring security and safety and safety association in between the UK and the EU, Berger claimed. He claimed there had truly been a change in assuming contemplating that the Russian intrusion of Ukraine.
In completion, I consider everybody comprehends that this has to do with our security and safety inEurope It requires teamwork in between freedoms, buddies, allies, nations with the exact same worths.
The geopolitical conditions have truly altered in a way that there’s nothing else various than a detailed teamwork.
Ukraine obtains completely nothing in Trump’s propositions for tranquility, states Boris Johnson
Boris Johnson has truly supplied strict objection of Donald Trump’s Ukraine tranquility propositions in amongst his very first noticeable admonishments of the United States head of state, claiming below his phrases the Ukrainians would definitely “get nothing”, Jessica Elgot information.
UK and EU need message-Brexit reset supply to be ‘as enthusiastic as feasible’, No 10 states
Good early morning. Keir Starmer repetitively states it’s unneeded, and incorrect, for Britain to select in between nearer relate to the United States or withEurope It is an disagreeable setting for many left wing that assume {that a} choice in between a nation below unreasonable, tyrannical administration, and a partnership of liberal freedoms, have to be a chunk of cake. The Conservatives need the UK to select the United States.
But there are indicators that, behind Starmer’s boilerplate unsupported claims, his administration is selecting. Here are 3 over evening growths aiming as a result of directions.
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Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, has claimed the UK’s buying and selling reference to the EU is “arguably even more important” than its reference to the United States. She made this comment in a BBC interview from Washington, the place in the present day she is satisfying her United States equal,Scott Bessant Reeves knowledgeable Faisal Islam:
I acknowledge why there’s lots think about our buying and selling reference to the United States nonetheless actually our buying and selling reference to Europe is probably way more essential, since they’re our close by neighbors and buying and selling companions.
Obviously I’ve truly been satisfying Scott Bessent in the present day while I stay in Washington, nonetheless I’ve truly moreover in the present day fulfilled the French, the German, the Spanish, the Polish, the Swedish, the Finnish financing monks – since it’s so essential that we restore these buying and selling partnerships with our close by neighbors in Europe, and we’re mosting doubtless to try this in a way that advantages British duties and British prospects.
In one regard, this can be a flawlessly peculiar level to state. The simply debatable characteristic of it have to be Reeves’s use phrases “arguably”, since claiming that occupation with the EU is extra essential than occupation with the United States is just a declaration of actuality. (They will not be additionally shut; on all steps, the EU trade is much larger) But it’s nonetheless unusual to hearken to a Labour preacher discuss just like this thought of that the federal authorities is often actually anxious regarding showing remainy, and the declaration slightly weakens Starmer’s ‘false choice’ debate.
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The UK and the EU seem progressively close to concurring some kind of younger individuals flexibility plan. Ministers don’t akin to making use of the time period since they fret Brexiters will definitely hyperlink it with cost-free exercise. “A youth mobility scheme is not part of our plans,” Nick Thomas-Symonds, the Cabinet Office preacher accountable of message-Brexit connections with the EU, knowledgeable MPs the opposite day. But a file in the Times today states“there is growing support among government ministers for a youth mobility scheme” Yvette Cooper, that as dwelling assistant is focused on decreasing internet motion, had truly been considered as a blocker. But the Times states she is at the moment divulge heart’s contents to a diminished younger individuals flexibility plan, akin to a “one in one out” variation. It states:
Government sources firmly insisted that Cooper was at the moment encouraging in idea of the technique so long as it was “capped” to make sure that there is likely to be no return to pre-Brexit liberty of exercise.
One various would definitely be to limit numbers to make sure that the whole number of younger Europeans regarding stay and function within the UK didn’t transcend the number of British people mosting more likely toEurope Another alternative would definitely be to determine a proportional cap with a specified restriction yearly.
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Downing Street has truly claimed that Starmer and Ursula von der Leyen need the UK-EU message-Brexit reset, which ends up from be concurred at a high following month, to be“as ambitious as possible” Starmer and von der Leyen fulfilled in No 10 the opposite day, and final night a No 10 consultant supplied this readout.
[Starmer and von der Leyen] had a prolonged and efficient dialog focused on a wide range of issues consisting of Ukraine, energy security and safety, the worldwide financial scenario, and safety …
Discussing the recurring preparations to reinforce the UK-EU collaboration, they each concurred that glorious improvement had truly been made. They requested their teams to proceed their essential function within the coming weeks, with the aim of supplying as enthusiastic a bundle as possible on the very first UK-EU high following month.
The head of state was clear that he will definitely confiscate any kind of risk to reinforce the lives of functioning people within the United Kingdom, drive improvement and keep people safe– and he thinks a strengthened collaboration in between the UK and the EU will definitely accomplish this.
Downing Street readouts are usually plain to the issue of meaninglessness subsequently for No 10 to state that the dialogue was “long and productive” just about suggests ‘get a room’ levels of cordiality. And the road regarding the supply being “as ambitious as possible” is tantalising in its results.
Here is the schedule for the day.
Morning: Nigel Farage, the Reform UK chief, will definitely be campaigning with Luke Campbell, his celebration’s prospect for mayor of Hull and East Yorkshire, inHull Later they may definitely stay in Beverley.
9.30 am: MPs dialogue private contributors’ bills, starting with Stephen Gethins’ devolution (migration) (Scotland) expense.
Morning: Kemi Badenoch is advertising and marketing in Warwickshire and Gloucestershire.
11.30 am: Downing Street holds an entrance corridor rundown.
Morning: Carla Denyer, the Green celebration’s co-leader, is advertising and marketing in Dartford in Kent.
Afternoon: North Kesteven space council is anticipated to rule on a claim that Reform UK’s Andrea Jenkyns can’t be a prospect for Greater Lincolnshire mayor because the deal with the place she is signed as much as enact the constituency isn’t her main dwelling.
4pm (UK time): Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, is satisfying the United States treasury assistant Scott Bessent in Washington.
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